Mortgage spreads are the hero of the 2025 housing market
Mortgage spreads are the hero of housing in 2025, quietly helping housing demand pick up even when nobody else notices. What are mortgage spreads? In the slow dance between the… Read more »
Category: MORTGAGE RATES
When tariffs hit home
Last month, a federal appeals court ruled that many of the tariffs imposed under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) were illegal. Gulp. The tariffs in question — sometimes… Read more »
Best time to buy a house? Mid-October 2025 favors buyers
The week of Oct. 12–18 will be the best time for homebuyers in 2025, according to Realtor.com’s annual Best Time to Buy Report. The analysis projects buyers could see 32.6%… Read more »
Housing inventory growth is starting to stall
Housing inventory growth is starting to stall, despite elevated mortgage rates. As new listings begin their seasonal decline, we might have already reached our peak percentage growth rate for 2025…. Read more »
Better mortgage spreads are capping rates in 2025
Another jobs week has come to an end, and amid the chaotic headlines about job numbers, tariffs, and the leadership of the Treasury, mortgage rates remained calm. Better mortgage spreads… Read more »
Housing demand firming up with lower mortgage rates
Housing demand is very seasonal, so the fact that our pending contract data is firming up lately just shows that lower mortgage rates have stabilized and firmed up demand recently…. Read more »
Did lower mortgage rates slow housing inventory growth?
My model for inventory growth with higher mortgage rates came crashing down last week. After two weeks of significant increases, inventory growth slowed dramatically and is far from my 11,000-17,000… Read more »
Labor market report is good news for mortgage rates
Friday’s jobs report came in as a miss of estimates and wage growth came in lower than expected. The labor market isn’t tight anymore and that will eventually be good… Read more »
Finally, some healthy housing inventory growth
Housing inventory finally hit my target level of growth last week with mortgage rates now over 7.25%, something I couldn’t get all last year. Of course, what is different this… Read more »
Apartment permits are back to recession lows. Will mortgage rates follow?
In Tuesday’s report, the 5-unit housing permits data hit the same levels we saw in the COVID-19 recession. Once the backlog of apartments is finished, those jobs will be at… Read more »